We also share information about your use of our site with our social media. One aspect of statistics is determining how much information is needed to have confiidence in a theory. A reference in a recent magazine article to the monty hall problem left readers scratching their heads. We demonstrate that the use of bayesian statistics conforms to the maximum entropy principle in information theory and bayesian approach successfully. The monty hall problem is one of those rare curiosities a mathematical. But it was not until thursday afternoon that a truly realistic simulation of the problem was conducted. In this video, bryce gessell duke university explains why it seems.
The monty hall problem is a strange result arising from a very simple situation. In her book the power of logical thinking, vos savant 1996, p. The monty hall problem or threedoor problem is a famous example of a cognitive illusion, often used to demonstrate peoples resistance and deficiency in dealing with uncertainty. The monty hall problem is a famous or rather infamous probability puzzle. According to the guinness book of records, at the time she was the woman. Those intrigued by the original monty hall problem will find that this book is a. Strategic dominance links the monty hall problem to the game theory. It turns out the true explanation, based on conditional probabilities or bayesian reasoning. Understanding the monty hall problem betterexplained. This article monty hall problem in monty hall problem was adapted from an original. The author marilyn vos savant, was, according to the guiness book of records at the.
You can now take advantage of this additional information. The monty hall problem is a brain teaser, in the form of a probability puzzle, loosely based on. The monty hall problem is a counterintuitive statistics puzzle. An easy answer to the infamous monty hall problem the. This is, by far, the most contentious math problem ever.
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